Apart, of course, from the Treaty of Union, until very
recently there was no apparent substantial existential threat to the United
Kingdom –or so our political leaders seemed to think. They had agreed to a
Scottish referendum; and had access to pollsters galore, so how did they get it
so wrong? Surely the first duty of any Prime Minister is the defence of the
nation, against whatever threat, presumably including secession – for how else
do we explain the unanimity of the Westminster parties over the No campaign? Most
leaders have clearly regarded even devolution as a threat to their power and
failed to encourage a long-term federal solution which could have bound us ever
more tightly together whilst recognising people’s hunger for more
self-determination. This has been a huge mistake in the face of plentiful
evidence, which Scots voters have now given us the chance to rectify.
Mistake No 2 has been arrogance. Delegating previously
vilified Labour ex-ministers to carry out the dirty work instead of showing
true leadership belittled the whole threat and allowed the result to be as
close as it eventually became. The ultimate complacency.
Mistake No 3 was to fail to heed even those polls they did
access at the time of the referendum agreement. The deliberate removal of the 3rd
option of Devo Max made the No option – more of the same – deeply unattractive
to many. Accompanying this option with a badly drafted question, tactics of
threat and bullying contrasted strongly with the upbeat, visionary campaign for
Yes which has so nearly prevailed. Even as a PR man, Cameron should be dismissed
for allowing this negative strategy, let alone for his dereliction of duty.
We are where we are, so whither England; whither Labour? The
lesson of the Yes campaign for Labour must be to re-emphasise building a fairer
society. It must define how it will offer some of the benefits won by Scots to
disengaged English and Welsh voters. We voters must note how the Scots got what
they really wanted by shouting loudest. Even we who live only 50 miles from the
seat of power feel the lack of any agency. The SNP can be compared to UKIP, in
tapping a vein of anti-Establishment feeling. Labour should back-track from its
closeness to the City, to Big Money and to the other No parties and return to
the grass roots from which it sprang, for this is where the disenchantment
grows.
Cameron’s failures smack of his typical strategy vacuum; of
reaction to pressures with back-of-the-envelope bribes rather than long-term
vision. Labour must paint a vision for a better country now; and explain how it
will bring it into being, to turn his mismanagement into something better for
everyone.
Tom Serpell
@uckfieldlabour
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